Sunday, September 2, 2012

NFL Season Is Here!

     Welcome friends to my blog, where I, your not-so-humble servant will give you the inside info that you ain't gonna hear anywhere else. I'll give you the important info you're gonna need to make the wise choices at the betting window.
     Here at TopBoss, my intention is to try to take as much risk out of betting as possible. Therefore the picks you will get here have the most value built into them. Each pick can be viewed in the following manner. For instance, TopBoss looks for info that gives a team a significant edge over the other. That edge needs to give that pick a 70% chance or better of covering the bet. So that pick, when played over a period of 10 games would cover 7 times. Anything below 70% is just a toss-up in my book.
     Over the course of a season, natural situational changes occur. Here's the deal. In weeks 1 thru  3, it's easiest to make the money because the public basically is behind the curve, and so is Vegas, and large edges are apparent. That's why you come here, to stay get ahead and stay ahead, know what I mean? Starting around week 4, the edges get smaller as the public and bookmakers get a feel for the teams. This is also where the statistics begin to show a trend. Finally by week 8, the gaps for edges are almost entirely closed and the bookmakers have it nailed down tight. This is where Inside Info is so important and there are less value games on the board.
     TopBoss wants you to know that you can come here and expect to get a consistent, valuable service. Simply check in every Saturday at 6pm PT for the following Sunday's picks. While others have requested picks to be earlier, TopBoss simply cannot give you any accuracy without things like injury reports, weather updates, and last minute info that only occurs just before game time. Then check back in Sunday mornings before kickoff for any updates or changes.
     Please pay close attention to the fictitious bankroll because it should directly relate to your bankroll. What? You don't have a bankroll? Please check the archives for the importance of a bankroll. It is vital to your success.
     Thanks folks and let's have a profitable year!
    

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